and required both infrastructure and staff to support them. Banks were already
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，更多细节参见搜狗输入法2026
Dorsey's reasoning echoes the sentiment recently shared by several tech leaders, with Anthropic's Boris Cherny claiming that "coding is largely solved" and Elon Musk saying that AI will "replace all jobs." A widely shared "thought exercise" by Citrini recently predicted an economic collapse by 2028 due to AI driving humans out of work.
核心指标2025年预期 (中国)2026年预期 (中国)全球主要经济体趋势 (2026)政策暗示与微观影响GDP实际增速5.0%左右 [1]4.5% - 4.8% [6, 10]2.7% - 3.3% (分化显著) [11, 12]增长质量优于增长速度，寻找结构性溢价 [7]CPI通胀水平止跌企稳 [5]0.6% - 0.72% (温和回升) [8, 9]3.1% (全球平均回落) [10]消费意愿修复，有利于服务业与溢价品牌 [1, 5]制造业投资稳中向好 [13]触底回升 (拉动主力) [5]AI相关基建持续高涨 [5, 14]“数智化”技改成为制造业生存门槛 [15, 16]出口增长率5.5% [13]压力与机遇并存 [1, 17]增速放缓至0.5%-2.2% [10, 17]多元化市场（东盟、拉美）替代北美单一依赖 [13, 18]财政政策基调积极有为 [3]更加给力、投资于人 [1]普遍收紧但结构性扩张 [11]民生补贴与技能培训领域的公共支出增加 [5, 7]
用全国统一大市场调配能源与算力，用刚性政策倒逼能效提升，用完整制造业压低绿电成本。长期效率更高、成本更低、普惠性更强，支撑大中小微企业共同创新。